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Incident report · 2026043002

Hokkaido-Sakhalin Cable System (HSCS): 0.02× baseline latency

Resolved · 2h 59m

What we measured

CableHokkaido-Sakhalin Cable System (HSCS)
SegmentIshikari, JP → Nevelsk, RU
Detected2026-04-30 17:01 UTC
Resolved2026-04-30 20:00 UTC
Duration2h 59m
Observed latency1.6 ms
Baseline67.9 ms · 0.02×
Increase+231%
Severitywarning

Who is affected

Countries where Hokkaido-Sakhalin Cable System (HSCS) comes ashore, how much of their submarine diversity this cable represents, and what our measurements into them show.

CountryDependence on this cableOther submarine cablesWhat the measurements show
Japan
resilience index: 100 · resilient
1 of 52 cables (2% of submarine diversity) 5 Villages 6 Islands, APCN-2, Apricot +48 more median 186 ms today vs 250 ms over 30 days (70 routes) - faster
Russia
resilience index: 100 · resilient
1 of 13 cables (8% of submarine diversity) BCS North - Phase 2, Energy Bridge Cable, Far East Submarine Cable System +9 more median 124 ms today vs 79 ms over 30 days (213 routes) - slower

Dependence is structural (share of the country's submarine cables), not a traffic share: real traffic distribution across cables is not public.

Path analysis

Traffic kept the same route. Latency rose without a visible path change, which points at congestion or a fault on the existing route rather than a reroute.

Cross-probe verdict. Only one probe saw it. We treat this as a probable false positive and label it as such.

Timeline

Detection method

Latency is sampled continuously from our probe network. An alert opens when round-trip time to a monitored endpoint holds above its rolling baseline, and closes automatically once it returns. Full method is described on the methodology page.

How to cite

GeoCables (2026). Incident 2026043002: Hokkaido-Sakhalin Cable System (HSCS). https://geocables.com/incident/2026043002

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