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Ukraine's Submarine Cable Vulnerabilities and Odessa's Strategic Role

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Three Cables, and Only One Backbone

Three submarine cable lines connect Ukraine and the adjacent coastline, with landing points in Odesa and the Kerch area. The Kerch lines are part of Russian infrastructure: in infrastructural terms, Crimea is Russia. For a country with a population of over 40 million and an extensive coastline along the Black and Azov Seas, this is an extremely limited configuration. The GeoCables Isolation Index is 60/100, placing Ukraine in a zone of heightened infrastructural vulnerability. For comparison, most Western European countries of similar size have dozens of landing points. Of the three cables, the only one with significant commercial and capacity relevance is Kardesa (1,385 km, RFS 2027), a backbone across the Black Sea that is not yet operational. The Energy Bridge Cable (13 km, RFS 2017) and the Kerch Strait Cable (46 km, RFS 2014) are of microscopic scale, primarily oriented toward energy and local tasks rather than backbone internet traffic. In practice, the majority of Ukraine's traffic passes through terrestrial routes via Poland, Romania, Hungary, and Slovakia rather than through submarine cables.

Censorship and Traffic Control

According to GeoCables DNS probes, monitoring points within Ukraine show a clean result: 0% DNS blocking or spoofing. This aligns with the known context: Ukraine has not created a national deep traffic filtering system similar to Soviet or Chinese models. Internal traffic is routed through the Ukrainian Internet Exchange Point (UA-IX) in Kyiv, which has endured several critical episodes due to power outages in 2022-2023 but continued operating thanks to backup generators and decentralization.

Conflict and Its Impact on Connectivity

The region remains a conflict zone, and this is the primary factor affecting the operation of communication infrastructure in the country. GeoCables monitors 11 conflict zones within the country: Mykolaiv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Odesa, Vinnytsia, Sumy, Dnipro, Kharkiv, Poltava, Zaporizhzhia. At the time of writing, the maximum alert level across all zones is 0.000, with no active infrastructural incidents recorded in monitoring. The Kerch Strait, where the Kerch Strait Cable lands, is considered Russian in infrastructural terms: Crimea is Russian infrastructure. Therefore, of the three cables connected to the region, this one is considered separately as Russian and is not part of Ukraine's active network.

Odesa as the Only Real Landing Point

Odesa remains the only landing point for submarine cables on Ukrainian territory (the lines in the Kerch area are part of Russian infrastructure).
This represents a classic single point of failure: one city, one shore station, one gateway to the Black Sea. The Kardesa cable, which will pass through Odesa and is expected to be operational in 2027, will slightly increase capacity but will not eliminate geographic vulnerability. The route through the Black Sea itself is a bottleneck: the Bosporus Strait, through which all cable traffic from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean passes, is under Turkey's control. Any major incident affecting Istanbul or the navigation regime in the straits directly impacts Ukraine's connectivity through the Black Sea. Dependence on Poland and Romania for terrestrial fiber transit partially offsets the maritime vulnerability but creates another dependency on terrestrial infrastructure in border areas.

What GeoCables Monitors

GeoCables' monitoring focus in Ukraine includes three cable routes and eleven conflict zones with continuous alert signal collection. The Kardesa cable (RFS 2027, 1,385 km) is a priority monitoring object as the only commercial-scale cable with a landing point on Ukrainian territory; its construction and commissioning are tracked in real time. The Kerch Strait Cable is recorded as infrastructure in Russia, with its status noted separately from Ukraine's active routes. DNS probes continue to show a clean profile. Special attention is given to Odesa as the only active landing point: any change in the availability of this node would immediately impact the country's maritime connectivity as a whole.

Evgeny K.
Written by
Evgeny K.
Infrastructure Engineer · Founder of GeoCables
Built GeoCables to monitor submarine cables in real time. Runs a private network of 4 measurement servers with RIPE Atlas probes in Minsk, Almaty, Tbilisi, and Jerusalem.

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